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Full list of Week 7 straight-up picks with confidence levels

We make picks for all 15 NFL games with levels of confidence ahead of Week 7.

Brock Purdy #13 of the San Francisco 49ers and Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs shake hands during Super Bowl LVIII Opening Night at Allegiant Stadium on February 5, 2024 in Las Vegas, NV. Photo by Perry Knotts/Getty Images

The NFL saw a rash of upsets through the first five weeks, but Week 6 finally say the chaos come under control. The two undefeated teams (Chiefs, Vikings) were on bye, but virtually every favorite won this weekend.

The closest thing we had to an upset saw the Colts beat the Titans in Nashville. That line moved quite a bit, with both teams favored at different points. However, aside from that, it was all chalk. That meant I continued to get back on track with my weekly confidence picks. I was 12-2, losing only my upset picks of the Cowboys over the Lions and the Giants over the Bengals. I was 2-0 on my high confidence picks, 5-0 on medium confidence, and 5-2 on low confidence.

We’re on to Week 7, with only two byes this week as the Bears and Cowboys get a break. Here’s my full list of picks for Week 7. A game with three asterisks (***) after it indicates a game where I’m picking the betting underdog to get the win.

High confidence (10-9)

Eagles over Giants
Bills over Titans
Commanders over Panthers

Medium confidence (29-11)

Broncos over Saints
Jaguars over Patriots
Falcons over Seahawks
Bengals over Browns
Lions over Vikings***
Rams over Raiders
Ravens over Buccaneers

Low confidence (20-14)

Texans over Packers***
Colts over Dolphins
49ers over Chiefs (12:24pm, Oct 17: Updated to Chiefs over 49ers***)
Steelers over Jets***
Cardinals over Chargers***

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